Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin Formosa to win ✗37% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.57
Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Bartolomé Mitre take on San Martin Formosa on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni. Bartolomé Mitre are 9th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while San Martin Formosa sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Bartolomé Mitre's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Defensores de Vilelas 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Bartolomé Mitre and 1.0 for San Martin Formosa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bartolomé Mitre 37%, draw 26%, San Martin Formosa 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 52% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Bartolomé Mitre 1–1 San Martin Formosa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bartolomé Mitre37%fair 2.72 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.80
San Martin Formosa37%fair 2.68 · @3.10
2.06Expected goals
1.02Bartolomé Mitre xG
1.03San Martin Formosa xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–013%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bartolomé Mitre 1.0 – 1.0 San Martin Formosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Formosa to win✗
37%
2.68
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.57
–
Form
Bartolomé Mitre – last 3
WWW
10 May
@ Defensores de Vilelas
3–1
W
18 Apr
@ Juventud Antoniana
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Boca Unidos
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
San Martin Formosa – last 2
LL
5 Apr
@ Tucuman Central
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Racing Club
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bartolomé Mitre and San Martin Formosa.
What is the prediction for Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?
On our numbers Bartolomé Mitre have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Martin Formosa 37%.
How many goals will there be in Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?
Our predicted score is Bartolomé Mitre 1–1 San Martin Formosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?
Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
