Value bet: Tucuman Central to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin Formosa to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.77
Tucuman Central vs San Martin Formosa preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Tucuman Central take on San Martin Formosa on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT). Tucuman Central are 32nd with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while San Martin Formosa sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Tucuman Central and 1.0 for San Martin Formosa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tucuman Central 31%, draw 24%, San Martin Formosa 45%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Tucuman Central to win at 3.60 – 31% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Tucuman Central 0–1 San Martin Formosa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tucuman Central31%fair 3.28 · @3.60
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.75
San Martin Formosa45%fair 2.21 · @2.10
1.77Expected goals
0.75Tucuman Central xG
1.02San Martin Formosa xG
46%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–017%
1–113%
1–013%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Tucuman Central 0.8 – 1.0 San Martin Formosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Formosa to win✗
45%
2.21
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.77
–
Form
Tucuman Central
No recent results on record.
San Martin Formosa – last 1
L
29 Mar
@ Racing Club
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tucuman Central and San Martin Formosa.
What is the prediction for Tucuman Central vs San Martin Formosa?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Tucuman Central vs San Martin Formosa?
On our numbers Tucuman Central have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Martin Formosa 45%.
How many goals will there be in Tucuman Central vs San Martin Formosa?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tucuman Central vs San Martin Formosa?
Our predicted score is Tucuman Central 0–1 San Martin Formosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Tucuman Central vs San Martin Formosa?
Tucuman Central vs San Martin Formosa (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
