Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Independiente De Chivilcoy to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente De Chivilcoy to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceIndependiente De Chivilcoy or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.58
Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy preview and prediction
The match
Independiente De Chivilcoy host Gimnasia Chivilcoy in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Raul Orlando Lungarzo. Independiente De Chivilcoy are 25th with 19 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Gimnasia Chivilcoy sit 6th on 27 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Independiente De Chivilcoy and 0.7 for Gimnasia Chivilcoy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 52% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Independiente De Chivilcoy to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Independiente De Chivilcoy 1–0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente De Chivilcoy64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @2.90
Gimnasia Chivilcoy13%fair 7.69 · @5.00
2.47Expected goals
1.80Independiente De Chivilcoy xG
0.67Gimnasia Chivilcoy xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Independiente De Chivilcoy 1.8 – 0.7 Gimnasia Chivilcoy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente De Chivilcoy to win✓
64%
1.56
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Independiente De Chivilcoy or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Half-time result
Independiente De Chivilcoy ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente De Chivilcoy / FT Independiente De Chivilcoy✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.58
–
Form
Independiente De Chivilcoy – last 1
L
29 Mar
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gimnasia Chivilcoy – last 2
DL
29 Mar
vs Sportivo Belgrano
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Boca Juniors
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente De Chivilcoy and Gimnasia Chivilcoy.
What is the prediction for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Our pick is Independiente De Chivilcoy to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
On our numbers Independiente De Chivilcoy have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gimnasia Chivilcoy 13%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Our predicted score is Independiente De Chivilcoy 1–0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Raul Orlando Lungarzo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
