Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Las Parejas to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceSportivo Las Parejas or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.21
Sportivo Las Parejas vs 9 de Julio Rafaela preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Sportivo Las Parejas take on 9 de Julio Rafaela on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio La Perrera. Sportivo Las Parejas are 15th with 24 points from 18 games (in the top half), while 9 de Julio Rafaela sit 14th on 25 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Sportivo Las Parejas and 0.8 for 9 de Julio Rafaela. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sportivo Las Parejas 59%, draw 26%, 9 de Julio Rafaela 15%.
Safer route: Sportivo Las Parejas or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sportivo Las Parejas 1–0 9 de Julio Rafaela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Las Parejas59%fair 1.70 · @1.83
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.10
9 de Julio Rafaela15%fair 6.81 · @4.00
2.54Expected goals
1.75Sportivo Las Parejas xG
0.789 de Julio Rafaela xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sportivo Las Parejas 1.8 – 0.8 9 de Julio Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Las Parejas to win✗
59%
1.70
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Sportivo Las Parejas or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Half-time result
Sportivo Las Parejas ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Las Parejas / FT Sportivo Las Parejas✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.21
–
Form
Sportivo Las Parejas – last 1
D
30 Mar
@ Atletico Escobar
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
9 de Julio Rafaela – last 2
WL
29 Mar
vs Independiente De Chivilcoy
3–2
W
21 Mar
@ Sportivo Belgrano
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Las Parejas and 9 de Julio Rafaela.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Las Parejas vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sportivo Las Parejas vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
On our numbers Sportivo Las Parejas have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and 9 de Julio Rafaela 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Las Parejas vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Las Parejas vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Las Parejas 1–0 9 de Julio Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Las Parejas vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Sportivo Las Parejas vs 9 de Julio Rafaela (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Perrera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.