Sarmiento Resistencia vs Bartolomé Mitre prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Bartolomé Mitre to win @ 3.10 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultBartolomé Mitre to win40% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–114% · fair 7.41
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Bartolomé Mitre preview and prediction
The match
Sarmiento Resistencia host Bartolomé Mitre in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Centenario. Sarmiento Resistencia are 35th with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Bartolomé Mitre sit 9th on 26 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Sarmiento Resistencia and 1.1 for Bartolomé Mitre. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Value angle: Bartolomé Mitre to win at 3.10 – 40% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Sarmiento Resistencia 0–1 Bartolomé Mitre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento Resistencia35%fair 2.89 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.90
Bartolomé Mitre40%fair 2.51 · @3.10
2.10Expected goals
1.00Sarmiento Resistencia xG
1.10Bartolomé Mitre xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Resistencia 1.0 – 1.1 Bartolomé Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bartolomé Mitre to win
40%
2.51
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.98
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bartolomé Mitre / FT Bartolomé Mitre
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
14%
7.41
–
Form
Sarmiento Resistencia – last 1
L
21 Mar
vs Juventud Antoniana
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bartolomé Mitre – last 1
W
29 Mar
vs Boca Unidos
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Resistencia and Bartolomé Mitre.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Resistencia vs Bartolomé Mitre?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sarmiento Resistencia vs Bartolomé Mitre?
On our numbers Sarmiento Resistencia have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bartolomé Mitre 40%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Resistencia vs Bartolomé Mitre?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Resistencia vs Bartolomé Mitre?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Resistencia 0–1 Bartolomé Mitre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Resistencia vs Bartolomé Mitre?
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Bartolomé Mitre (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
