Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCRB to win52% · @1.94
Double chanceCRB or draw78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.65
Sousa vs CRB preview and prediction
The match
Sousa host CRB in the Copa Do Brasil on Thursday 12 March, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estádio Antônio Mariz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Sousa and 1.7 for CRB. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sousa 22%, draw 27%, CRB 52%.
Safer route: CRB or draw (78%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 54% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CRB or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sousa 1–1 CRB. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sousa22%fair 4.63 · @3.95
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.10
CRB52%fair 1.93 · @1.94
2.89Expected goals
1.24Sousa xG
1.65CRB xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Sousa 1.2 – 1.7 CRB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CRB to win
52%
1.93
1.94
Double chance
CRB or draw
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.86
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.50 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CRB / FT CRB
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.65
–
Form
Sousa – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Pombal EC
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ Campinense
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
CRB – last 2
WW
4 Mar
vs Porto BA
6–0
W
19 Feb
vs CSA
2–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sousa and CRB.
Our pick is CRB or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sousa vs CRB?
On our numbers Sousa have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CRB 52%.
How many goals will there be in Sousa vs CRB?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sousa vs CRB?
Our predicted score is Sousa 1–1 CRB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sousa vs CRB?
Sousa vs CRB (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Antônio Mariz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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