Madureira vs Águia de Marabá prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Águia de Marabá to win @ 3.85 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMadureira to win ✗45% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.25
Madureira vs Águia de Marabá preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Madureira take on Águia de Marabá on Thursday 12 March, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estádio Conselheiro Galvão.
Form guide
Madureira's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Flamengo 0–8 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.4 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Madureira and 1.1 for Águia de Marabá. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Madureira 45%, draw 26%, Águia de Marabá 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Águia de Marabá to win at 3.85 – 30% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Madureira 1–1 Águia de Marabá. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Madureira45%fair 2.23 · @1.98
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.10
Águia de Marabá30%fair 3.38 · @3.85
2.29Expected goals
1.20Madureira xG
1.09Águia de Marabá xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Madureira 1.2 – 1.1 Águia de Marabá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Madureira to win✗
45%
2.23
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Madureira / FT Madureira✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.25
–
Form
Madureira – last 5
LWLWW
3 Mar
vs Flamengo
0–8
L
25 Feb
vs ABC
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ Flamengo
0–3
L
18 Feb
@ Baré
3–0
W
13 Feb
vs Boavista SC
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Águia de Marabá – last 2
WW
26 Feb
vs Independência
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Cametá
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Madureira and Águia de Marabá.
What is the prediction for Madureira vs Águia de Marabá?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Madureira vs Águia de Marabá?
On our numbers Madureira have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Águia de Marabá 30%.
How many goals will there be in Madureira vs Águia de Marabá?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Madureira vs Águia de Marabá?
Our predicted score is Madureira 1–1 Águia de Marabá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Madureira vs Águia de Marabá?
Madureira vs Águia de Marabá (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Conselheiro Galvão.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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