Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.25
Vila Nova vs Operario Ferroviario preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Vila Nova take on Operario Ferroviario on Thursday 12 March, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga.
Form guide
Vila Nova's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Atletico Goianiense 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Operario Ferroviario's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Bataguassu 3–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Operario Ferroviario arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Vila Nova and 0.8 for Operario Ferroviario. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vila Nova 62%, draw 21%, Operario Ferroviario 17%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Vila Nova 1–0 Operario Ferroviario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vila Nova62%fair 1.61 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.20
Operario Ferroviario17%fair 5.86 · @9.80
2.48Expected goals
1.65Vila Nova xG
0.83Operario Ferroviario xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–111%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Vila Nova 1.6 – 0.8 Operario Ferroviario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vila Nova to win✗
62%
1.61
1.33
Double chance
Vila Nova or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vila Nova / FT Vila Nova✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.25
–
Form
Vila Nova – last 3
LDW
22 Feb
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–2
L
16 Feb
vs Anápolis
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ Anápolis
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Operario Ferroviario – last 3
WWD
28 Feb
vs Bataguassu
3–2
W
26 Feb
@ ASA
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Naviraiense
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vila Nova and Operario Ferroviario.
What is the prediction for Vila Nova vs Operario Ferroviario?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Vila Nova vs Operario Ferroviario?
On our numbers Vila Nova have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Operario Ferroviario 17%.
How many goals will there be in Vila Nova vs Operario Ferroviario?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vila Nova vs Operario Ferroviario?
Our predicted score is Vila Nova 1–0 Operario Ferroviario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vila Nova vs Operario Ferroviario?
Vila Nova vs Operario Ferroviario (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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