Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Maranhão to win @ 3.70 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCeara to win ✓43% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.68
Maranhão vs Ceara preview and prediction
The match
Ceara travel to face Maranhão in the Copa Do Brasil on Thursday 12 March (23:30 WAT).
Form guide
Ceara's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Primavera SP 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Maranhão and 1.1 for Ceara. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maranhão 30%, draw 26%, Ceara 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Maranhão to win at 3.70 – 30% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Maranhão 1–1 Ceara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maranhão30%fair 3.29 · @3.70
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.20
Ceara43%fair 2.30 · @1.98
2.17Expected goals
1.03Maranhão xG
1.14Ceara xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Maranhão 1.0 – 1.1 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ceara to win✓
43%
2.30
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ceara / FT Ceara✓
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
13%
7.68
–
Form
Maranhão – last 2
WD
25 Feb
@ São Luiz
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs IAPE
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ceara – last 3
WWW
27 Feb
vs Primavera SP
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Floresta
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Floresta
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maranhão and Ceara.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Maranhão vs Ceara?
On our numbers Maranhão have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ceara 43%.
How many goals will there be in Maranhão vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maranhão vs Ceara?
Our predicted score is Maranhão 1–1 Ceara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Maranhão vs Ceara?
Maranhão vs Ceara (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Manaus FC0
Londrina0
Paysandu3
Portuguesa RJ1
Madureira0
Águia de Marabá1
Vila Nova1
Operario Ferroviario1
Operario-PR2
Capital Brasilia0
Sousa0
CRB2