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Mon 16 Nov 2026

Moldova

LWDLD

Faroe Islands vs Moldova prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35

8/10Rating
–Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultFaroe Islands to win48% · fair 2.07
Double chanceEither team to win81% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011% · fair 8.80

Faroe Islands vs Moldova preview and prediction

The match

Faroe Islands host Moldova in the UEFA Nations League on Monday 16 November, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Faroe Islands are 2nd with 4 points from 4 games, while Moldova sit 3rd on 4 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Faroe Islands's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Kazakhstan 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Moldova's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Slovakia 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 29 September 2026, finished Moldova 1–1 Faroe Islands.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Faroe Islands and 1.1 for Moldova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 48%.

Betting angles

Prediction

Our pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance. Predicted score: Faroe Islands 1–1 Moldova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Faroe Islands48%fair 2.07
Draw19%fair 5.21
Moldova33%fair 3.08
2.57Expected goals
1.48Faroe Islands xG
1.09Moldova xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Faroe Islands 1.5 – 1.1 Moldova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Footrivo team ratings

Faroe IslandsMoldova
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average-2%-15%
Goals conceded vs average-0%+24%
Our expected goals here1.481.04

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFaroe Islands to win48%2.07–
Double chanceEither team to win81%1.24–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.91–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.90–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.35–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Faroe Islands / FT Faroe Islands27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011%8.80–

Form

Faroe Islands – last 6

DDDDWL
6 Oct@ Kazakhstan2–2D
2 Octvs Slovakia1–1D
29 Sep@ Moldova1–1D
26 Sepvs Kazakhstan1–1D
9 Jun@ Latvia1–0W
6 Jun@ Estonia0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Moldova – last 6

LWDLDD
6 Octvs Slovakia0–4L
2 Oct@ Kazakhstan2–1W
29 Sepvs Faroe Islands1–1D
26 Sep@ Slovakia0–2L
9 Jun@ Armenia1–1D
5 Junvs Bulgaria2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Sep 2026Moldova v Faroe Islands1–1
Faroe Islands vs Moldova head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovakia4310+710
2Faroe Islands404004
3Moldova4112-54
4Kazakhstan4022-22

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Faroe Islands vs Moldova?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance.

Who will win Faroe Islands vs Moldova?

On our numbers Faroe Islands have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Moldova 33%.

How many goals will there be in Faroe Islands vs Moldova?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Faroe Islands vs Moldova?

Our predicted score is Faroe Islands 1–1 Moldova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Faroe Islands vs Moldova?

Faroe Islands vs Moldova (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.