The UEFA Nations League sees Greece take on Serbia on Monday 16 November, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT). Greece are 2nd with 8 points from 4 games, while Serbia sit 4th on 0 points.
Form guide
Greece's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Germany 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Serbia's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Netherlands 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Greece arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 September 2026, finished Serbia 1–2 Greece.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Greece and 0.8 for Serbia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Greece 64%, draw 22%, Serbia 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.79.
Prediction
Our prediction: Under 3.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Greece 1–0 Serbia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Greece64%fair 1.56 · @1.34
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @4.98
Serbia14%fair 7.20 · @7.34
2.66Expected goals
1.82Greece xG
0.84Serbia xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Greece 1.8 – 0.8 Serbia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Greece
Serbia
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
+5%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+29%
Our expected goals here
1.67
0.88
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Greece vs Serbia?
On our numbers Greece have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Serbia 14%.
How many goals will there be in Greece vs Serbia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Greece vs Serbia?
Our predicted score is Greece 1–0 Serbia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Greece vs Serbia?
Greece vs Serbia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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