FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia prediction & analysis
Slovenia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FYR Macedonia 0.6 – 1.7 Slovenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Slovenia travel as clear favourites – 67% to win, against 13% for FYR Macedonia.
FYR Macedonia have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.0 and conceding 2.3 per game. Slovenia have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. Slovenia come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (0.6 for FYR Macedonia, 1.7 for Slovenia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (17%), 0–2 (15%), 0–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, FYR Macedonia have won 0, Slovenia have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Slovenia to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.48.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Slovenia to win | 67% | 1.48 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Slovenia or draw | 87% | 1.15 | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 52% | 1.93 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.71 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 | – |
| Half-time result | Slovenia ahead at half-time | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Slovenia / FT Slovenia | 42% | 2.41 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 17% | 5.80 | – |
Form
FYR Macedonia – last 6
| 6 Oct | @ Switzerland | 0–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Scotland | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | @ Slovenia | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Switzerland | 0–3 | L |
| 1 Jun | @ Türkiye | 0–4 | L |
| 29 May | @ Bosnia & Herzegovina | 0–0 | D |
Slovenia – last 6
| 6 Oct | @ Scotland | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Switzerland | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs FYR Macedonia | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Scotland | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Jun | @ Croatia | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Jun | vs Cyprus | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 29 Sep 2026 | Slovenia v FYR Macedonia | 2–0 |
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 4 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |  Slovenia | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 |  FYR Macedonia | 4 | -10 | 0 |
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SerbiaFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?
Our pick is Slovenia to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?
On our numbers FYR Macedonia have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Slovenia 67%.
How many goals will there be in FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?
FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.