Cyprus vs Montenegro prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cyprus 1.0 – 1.4 Montenegro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Montenegro shade it despite being away from home – 55% to win, against 34% for Cyprus.
Cyprus have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.7 per game. Montenegro have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 for Cyprus, 1.4 for Montenegro). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 45%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Cyprus have won 0, Montenegro have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 78% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Montenegro to win | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.46 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Montenegro / FT Montenegro | 28% | 3.61 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 13% | 7.68 | – |
Form
Cyprus – last 6
| 5 Oct | vs Latvia | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Oct | vs Armenia | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | @ Latvia | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Sep | @ Montenegro | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Jun | @ Liechtenstein | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Jun | @ Slovenia | 1–1 | D |
Montenegro – last 6
| 5 Oct | vs Armenia | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Oct | @ Latvia | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Sep | @ Armenia | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Sep | vs Cyprus | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Jun | @ Slovakia | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Jun | @ Bulgaria | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 25 Sep 2026 | Montenegro v Cyprus | 2–1 |
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Montenegro | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Latvia | 4 | -4 | 1 |
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CzechiaFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cyprus vs Montenegro?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance.
Who will win Cyprus vs Montenegro?
On our numbers Cyprus have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Montenegro 55%.
How many goals will there be in Cyprus vs Montenegro?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Cyprus vs Montenegro?
Cyprus vs Montenegro (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.