Value bet: Algeria to win @ 3.40 – our chance 44% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +48%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlgeria to win ✗44% · @3.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Algeria vs Uruguay preview and prediction
The match
Uruguay travel to Allianz Stadium in the Friendlies on Tuesday 31 March (19:30 WAT) to face Algeria.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.8 for Algeria and 1.6 for Uruguay. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Algeria 44%, draw 22%, Uruguay 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Algeria to win at 3.40 – 44% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.32, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Algeria 1–1 Uruguay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Algeria44%fair 2.29 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Uruguay34%fair 2.93 · @2.05
3.44Expected goals
1.83Algeria xG
1.60Uruguay xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%
From our goals model: Algeria 1.8 – 1.6 Uruguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Algeria to win✗
44%
2.29
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.40 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Algeria / FT Algeria✗
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.54
–
Form
Algeria – last 1
W
27 Mar
vs Guatemala
7–0
W
7.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Uruguay – last 1
D
27 Mar
@ England
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Algeria and Uruguay.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Algeria vs Uruguay?
On our numbers Algeria have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Uruguay 34%.
How many goals will there be in Algeria vs Uruguay?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Algeria vs Uruguay?
Our predicted score is Algeria 1–1 Uruguay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Algeria vs Uruguay?
Algeria vs Uruguay (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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