Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Zhenys to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultZhenys to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceZhenys or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Zhenys vs Kaspiy preview and prediction
The match
Zhenys host Kaspiy in the Premier League on Thursday 28 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Astana Arena. Zhenys are 8th with 36 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Kaspiy sit 11th on 33 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Zhenys's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Yelimay Semey 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kaspiy's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Irtysh 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Zhenys arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Zhenys and 0.6 for Kaspiy. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zhenys 61%, draw 21%, Kaspiy 18%.
Safer route: Zhenys or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Zhenys to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Zhenys or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Zhenys 1–0 Kaspiy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zhenys61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.20
Kaspiy18%fair 5.63 · @3.80
2.19Expected goals
1.54Zhenys xG
0.64Kaspiy xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Zhenys 1.5 – 0.6 Kaspiy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zhenys to win✓
61%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Zhenys or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zhenys / FT Zhenys✓
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.62
–
Form
Zhenys – last 6
LLWWWW
23 May
@ Yelimay Semey
1–2
L
17 May
vs Kairat Almaty
1–2
L
13 May
vs Kyzyl-Zhar
2–0
W
9 May
@ Zhetysu
3–2
W
3 May
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Okzhetpes
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kaspiy – last 6
DLLWLD
22 May
vs Irtysh
2–2
D
30 Apr
@ Ordabasy
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
1–2
L
9 Apr
@ Ekibastuz
4–0
W
5 Apr
vs Zhetysu
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Altay
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zhenys and Kaspiy.
Our pick is Zhenys or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zhenys vs Kaspiy?
On our numbers Zhenys have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kaspiy 18%.
How many goals will there be in Zhenys vs Kaspiy?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zhenys vs Kaspiy?
Our predicted score is Zhenys 1–0 Kaspiy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Zhenys vs Kaspiy?
Zhenys vs Kaspiy (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
