Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Yelimay Semey to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultYelimay Semey to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceYelimay Semey or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.39
Kaisar vs Yelimay Semey preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Kaisar take on Yelimay Semey on Thursday 28 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Kaysar Arena. Kaisar are 16th with 25 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Yelimay Semey sit 6th on 45 points (in the top half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kaisar's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Kairat Almaty 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Yelimay Semey's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Zhenys 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Kaisar and 1.6 for Yelimay Semey. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 41%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kaisar 17%, draw 22%, Yelimay Semey 61%.
Safer route: Yelimay Semey or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Yelimay Semey to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Yelimay Semey or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Kaisar 0–1 Yelimay Semey. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kaisar17%fair 5.86 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.30
Yelimay Semey61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
2.35Expected goals
0.71Kaisar xG
1.64Yelimay Semey xG
41%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Kaisar 0.7 – 1.6 Yelimay Semey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yelimay Semey to win✓
61%
1.64
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Yelimay Semey or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yelimay Semey / FT Yelimay Semey✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.39
–
Form
Kaisar – last 6
DWLLWD
23 May
@ Kairat Almaty
0–0
D
17 May
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
2–1
W
10 May
@ Aktobe
0–3
L
6 May
vs Kairat Almaty
1–2
L
29 Apr
vs Kairat Almaty
2–1
W
25 Apr
@ Okzhetpes
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Yelimay Semey – last 6
WLLDWW
23 May
vs Zhenys
2–1
W
3 May
@ Ulytau
0–1
L
30 Apr
@ Aktobe
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Kairat Almaty
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Turan Turkistan
4–1
W
4 Apr
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaisar and Yelimay Semey.
What is the prediction for Kaisar vs Yelimay Semey?
Our pick is Yelimay Semey or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kaisar vs Yelimay Semey?
On our numbers Kaisar have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Yelimay Semey 61%.
How many goals will there be in Kaisar vs Yelimay Semey?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaisar vs Yelimay Semey?
Our predicted score is Kaisar 0–1 Yelimay Semey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Kaisar vs Yelimay Semey?
Kaisar vs Yelimay Semey (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kaysar Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
