Value bet: Kairat Almaty to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrdabasy to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.82
Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty preview and prediction
The match
Kairat Almaty travel to Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov in the Premier League on Thursday 28 May (16:00 WAT) to face Ordabasy. Ordabasy are 1st with 68 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Kairat Almaty sit 2nd on 65 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ordabasy's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat FK Tobol Kostanay 3–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kairat Almaty's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Kaisar 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Ordabasy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Ordabasy and 1.1 for Kairat Almaty. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Kairat Almaty to win at 2.95 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ordabasy 1–1 Kairat Almaty. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ordabasy39%fair 2.54 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Kairat Almaty37%fair 2.73 · @2.95
2.30Expected goals
1.18Ordabasy xG
1.12Kairat Almaty xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ordabasy 1.2 – 1.1 Kairat Almaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ordabasy to win✓
39%
2.54
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.82
–
Form
Ordabasy – last 6
WWWDWW
23 May
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
3–0
W
17 May
vs Zhetysu
2–1
W
13 May
vs Zhetysu
1–0
W
10 May
@ Altay
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Kaspiy
3–0
W
8 Apr
@ Akademiya Ontustik
4–2
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kairat Almaty – last 6
DWDWWL
23 May
vs Kaisar
0–0
D
17 May
@ Zhenys
2–1
W
10 May
@ Ulytau
1–1
D
6 May
@ Kaisar
2–1
W
2 May
@ Irtysh
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Kaisar
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ordabasy and Kairat Almaty.
What is the prediction for Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty?
On our numbers Ordabasy have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kairat Almaty 37%.
How many goals will there be in Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty?
Our predicted score is Ordabasy 1–1 Kairat Almaty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty?
Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
