Value bet: Zhetysu to win @ 2.78 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZhetysu to win ✗39% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.09
Zhetysu vs Zhenys preview and prediction
The match
Zhenys travel to face Zhetysu in the Premier League on Saturday 9 May (12:00 WAT). Zhetysu are 15th with 27 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Zhenys sit 8th on 36 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Zhetysu's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Atyrau 2–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zhenys's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat FK Tobol Kostanay 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Zhetysu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Zhetysu and 1.1 for Zhenys. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zhetysu 39%, draw 24%, Zhenys 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Zhetysu to win at 2.78 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Zhetysu 1–1 Zhenys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zhetysu39%fair 2.55 · @2.78
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.16
Zhenys37%fair 2.72 · @2.30
2.21Expected goals
1.13Zhetysu xG
1.08Zhenys xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Zhetysu 1.1 – 1.1 Zhenys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zhetysu to win✗
39%
2.55
2.78 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.23
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zhetysu / FT Zhetysu✗
21%
4.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.09
–
Form
Zhetysu – last 6
WWWWWD
29 Apr
@ Atyrau
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs Ulytau
2–0
W
18 Apr
@ Irtysh
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Karshiga Almaty
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Kaspiy
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs Kairat Almaty
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Zhenys – last 6
WWWLWD
3 May
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Okzhetpes
3–2
W
19 Apr
vs Aktobe
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
0–4
L
9 Apr
@ Chromtau
4–1
W
5 Apr
vs Okzhetpes
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zhetysu and Zhenys.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Zhetysu vs Zhenys?
On our numbers Zhetysu have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zhenys 37%.
How many goals will there be in Zhetysu vs Zhenys?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zhetysu vs Zhenys?
Our predicted score is Zhetysu 1–1 Zhenys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Zhetysu vs Zhenys?
Zhetysu vs Zhenys (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.