Atyrau travel to Okzhetpes Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 9 May (11:00 WAT) to face Okzhetpes. Okzhetpes are 4th with 54 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Atyrau sit 13th on 30 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Okzhetpes's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Kyzyl-Zhar 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Atyrau's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Altay 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Okzhetpes and 1.0 for Atyrau. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Okzhetpes 48%, draw 21%, Atyrau 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Okzhetpes 1–0 Atyrau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Okzhetpes48%fair 2.09 · @2.04
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.42
Atyrau32%fair 3.16 · @3.06
2.26Expected goals
1.29Okzhetpes xG
0.97Atyrau xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Okzhetpes 1.3 – 1.0 Atyrau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Okzhetpes to win✗
48%
2.09
2.04
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.23
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Okzhetpes / FT Okzhetpes✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.42
–
Form
Okzhetpes – last 6
WLDWWD
2 May
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Zhenys
2–3
L
25 Apr
vs Kaisar
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Irtysh
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Shakhter Karagandy
3–2
W
5 Apr
@ Zhenys
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atyrau – last 6
WLLWWD
3 May
vs Altay
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Zhetysu
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs Kyzyl-Zhar
0–1
L
11 Apr
vs Kaisar
2–0
W
8 Apr
@ Jas Qyran
4–0
W
20 Mar
vs Zhenys
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Okzhetpes and Atyrau.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Okzhetpes vs Atyrau?
On our numbers Okzhetpes have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atyrau 32%.
How many goals will there be in Okzhetpes vs Atyrau?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Okzhetpes vs Atyrau?
Our predicted score is Okzhetpes 1–0 Atyrau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Okzhetpes vs Atyrau?
Okzhetpes vs Atyrau (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Okzhetpes Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
