Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.37
Yelimay Semey vs Kaspiy preview and prediction
The match
Yelimay Semey host Kaspiy in the Premier League on Saturday 9 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadion Spartak. Yelimay Semey are 6th with 45 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Kaspiy sit 11th on 33 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Yelimay Semey's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Ulytau 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Kaspiy's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Ordabasy 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Yelimay Semey arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Yelimay Semey and 0.6 for Kaspiy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 48%.
Our pre-match pick was Yelimay Semey to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.46, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Yelimay Semey 1–0 Kaspiy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yelimay Semey70%fair 1.43 · @1.46
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @3.94
Kaspiy11%fair 8.75 · @5.85
2.50Expected goals
1.91Yelimay Semey xG
0.59Kaspiy xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Yelimay Semey 1.9 – 0.6 Kaspiy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yelimay Semey to win
70%
1.43
1.46
Double chance
Yelimay Semey or draw
89%
1.13
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.98
1.98
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.35
Half-time result
Yelimay Semey ahead at half-time
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yelimay Semey / FT Yelimay Semey
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.37
–
Form
Yelimay Semey – last 6
LLDWWD
3 May
@ Ulytau
0–1
L
30 Apr
@ Aktobe
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Kairat Almaty
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Turan Turkistan
4–1
W
4 Apr
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs Altay
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kaspiy – last 6
LLWLDL
30 Apr
@ Ordabasy
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
1–2
L
9 Apr
@ Ekibastuz
4–0
W
5 Apr
vs Zhetysu
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Altay
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs Okzhetpes
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yelimay Semey and Kaspiy.
What is the prediction for Yelimay Semey vs Kaspiy?
Our pick is Yelimay Semey to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win Yelimay Semey vs Kaspiy?
On our numbers Yelimay Semey have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kaspiy 11%.
How many goals will there be in Yelimay Semey vs Kaspiy?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yelimay Semey vs Kaspiy?
Our predicted score is Yelimay Semey 1–0 Kaspiy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Yelimay Semey vs Kaspiy?
Yelimay Semey vs Kaspiy (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
