Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Zhenys to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZhenys to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceZhenys or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.09
Zhenys vs Okzhetpes preview and prediction
The match
Okzhetpes travel to Astana Arena in the Premier League on Sunday 5 April (15:00 WAT) to face Zhenys. Zhenys are 8th with 36 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Okzhetpes sit 4th on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Zhenys's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Atyrau 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Okzhetpes's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Ulytau 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Okzhetpes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Zhenys and 0.7 for Okzhetpes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zhenys 59%, draw 26%, Okzhetpes 15%.
Safer route: Zhenys or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Zhenys to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Zhenys or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Zhenys 1–0 Okzhetpes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zhenys59%fair 1.69 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.20
Okzhetpes15%fair 6.54 · @3.80
2.27Expected goals
1.59Zhenys xG
0.68Okzhetpes xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Zhenys 1.6 – 0.7 Okzhetpes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zhenys to win✗
59%
1.69
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Zhenys or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zhenys / FT Zhenys✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.09
–
Form
Zhenys – last 3
DLD
20 Mar
@ Atyrau
0–0
D
16 Mar
vs Ordabasy
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Kaisar
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Okzhetpes – last 3
WWD
21 Mar
vs Ulytau
2–1
W
17 Mar
@ Kaspiy
3–1
W
7 Mar
vs Yelimay Semey
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zhenys and Okzhetpes.
Our pick is Zhenys or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zhenys vs Okzhetpes?
On our numbers Zhenys have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Okzhetpes 15%.
How many goals will there be in Zhenys vs Okzhetpes?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zhenys vs Okzhetpes?
Our predicted score is Zhenys 1–0 Okzhetpes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Zhenys vs Okzhetpes?
Zhenys vs Okzhetpes (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
