Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: FC Astana to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKairat Almaty to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.95
Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Kairat Almaty take on FC Astana on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Almaty Central Stadium. Kairat Almaty are 2nd with 65 points from 30 games (in the top four), while FC Astana sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Kairat Almaty's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Zhetysu 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Astana's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat FK Tobol Kostanay 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Kairat Almaty and 0.9 for FC Astana. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kairat Almaty 44%, draw 22%, FC Astana 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.73.
Value angle: FC Astana to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Kairat Almaty 1–0 FC Astana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kairat Almaty44%fair 2.28 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
FC Astana34%fair 2.91 · @3.20
2.05Expected goals
1.11Kairat Almaty xG
0.93FC Astana xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Kairat Almaty 1.1 – 0.9 FC Astana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kairat Almaty to win✓
44%
2.28
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kairat Almaty / FT Kairat Almaty✓
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.95
–
Form
Kairat Almaty – last 3
DWW
21 Mar
@ Zhetysu
0–0
D
16 Mar
vs Aktobe
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Altay
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
FC Astana – last 3
WDW
20 Mar
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Kaisar
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Zhetysu
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kairat Almaty and FC Astana.
What is the prediction for Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana?
On our numbers Kairat Almaty have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Astana 34%.
How many goals will there be in Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana?
Our predicted score is Kairat Almaty 1–0 FC Astana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana?
Kairat Almaty vs FC Astana (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Almaty Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
