Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Aktobe to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAktobe to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceAktobe or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.18
Ulytau vs Aktobe preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Ulytau take on Aktobe on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Stadion Metallurg. Ulytau are 9th with 35 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Aktobe sit 5th on 49 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ulytau's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to Okzhetpes 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aktobe's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to Kairat Almaty 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Ulytau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Ulytau and 1.7 for Aktobe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ulytau 17%, draw 22%, Aktobe 61%.
Safer route: Aktobe or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Aktobe to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aktobe or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ulytau 0–1 Aktobe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ulytau17%fair 5.87 · @3.85
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.50
Aktobe61%fair 1.65 · @1.80
2.53Expected goals
0.78Ulytau xG
1.74Aktobe xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Ulytau 0.8 – 1.7 Aktobe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aktobe to win✗
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Aktobe or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Aktobe ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aktobe / FT Aktobe✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.18
–
Form
Ulytau – last 3
LWD
21 Mar
@ Okzhetpes
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Kyzyl-Zhar
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Atyrau
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Aktobe – last 4
LWLL
16 Mar
@ Kairat Almaty
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
4–1
W
21 Feb
@ FC Sochi
0–3
L
16 Feb
@ FC UFA
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ulytau and Aktobe.
Our pick is Aktobe or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ulytau vs Aktobe?
On our numbers Ulytau have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aktobe 61%.
How many goals will there be in Ulytau vs Aktobe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulytau vs Aktobe?
Our predicted score is Ulytau 0–1 Aktobe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ulytau vs Aktobe?
Ulytau vs Aktobe (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Metallurg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
