Value bet: Zhetysu to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKaspiy to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.85
Kaspiy vs Zhetysu preview and prediction
The match
Kaspiy host Zhetysu in the Premier League on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Zhestar Stadium. Kaspiy are 11th with 33 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Zhetysu sit 15th on 27 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Kaspiy's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Altay 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Zhetysu's last 3: DDL Most recently they drew with Kairat Almaty 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Kaspiy and 1.2 for Zhetysu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kaspiy 40%, draw 24%, Zhetysu 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Zhetysu to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kaspiy 1–1 Zhetysu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kaspiy40%fair 2.51 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Zhetysu36%fair 2.76 · @3.10
2.57Expected goals
1.32Kaspiy xG
1.24Zhetysu xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Kaspiy 1.3 – 1.2 Zhetysu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kaspiy to win✗
40%
2.51
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kaspiy / FT Kaspiy✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.85
–
Form
Kaspiy – last 3
DLL
22 Mar
@ Altay
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs Okzhetpes
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Zhetysu – last 3
DDL
21 Mar
vs Kairat Almaty
0–0
D
16 Mar
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ FC Astana
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaspiy and Zhetysu.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kaspiy vs Zhetysu?
On our numbers Kaspiy have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zhetysu 36%.
How many goals will there be in Kaspiy vs Zhetysu?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaspiy vs Zhetysu?
Our predicted score is Kaspiy 1–1 Zhetysu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kaspiy vs Zhetysu?
Kaspiy vs Zhetysu (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Zhestar Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
