Peru travel to Stade de France in the Friendlies on Saturday 28 March (17:00 WAT) to face Senegal.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Senegal and 0.6 for Peru. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Senegal 69%, draw 19%, Peru 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Senegal to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Senegal 1–0 Peru. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Senegal69%fair 1.44 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.80
Peru11%fair 8.88 · @7.00
2.57Expected goals
1.95Senegal xG
0.62Peru xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–015%
3–09%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Senegal 2.0 – 0.6 Peru expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Senegal to win
69%
1.44
1.50
Double chance
Senegal or draw
89%
1.13
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Senegal ahead at half-time
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Senegal / FT Senegal
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.69
–
Form
Senegal
No recent results on record.
Peru
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Senegal and Peru.
Our pick is Senegal to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Senegal vs Peru?
On our numbers Senegal have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Peru 11%.
How many goals will there be in Senegal vs Peru?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Senegal vs Peru?
Our predicted score is Senegal 1–0 Peru, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Senegal vs Peru?
Senegal vs Peru (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de France.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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