Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Hungary to win @ 1.78 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultHungary to win65% · @1.78
Double chanceHungary or draw84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.09
Hungary vs Slovenia preview and prediction
The match
Hungary host Slovenia in the Friendlies on Saturday 28 March, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Hungary and 0.7 for Slovenia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hungary 65%, draw 19%, Slovenia 16%.
Safer route: Hungary or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Hungary to win at 1.78 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hungary or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Hungary 1–0 Slovenia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hungary65%fair 1.53 · @1.78
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.60
Slovenia16%fair 6.44 · @4.40
2.57Expected goals
1.84Hungary xG
0.73Slovenia xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Hungary 1.8 – 0.7 Slovenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hungary to win
65%
1.53
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Hungary or draw
84%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Hungary ahead at half-time
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hungary / FT Hungary
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.09
–
Form
Hungary
No recent results on record.
Slovenia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hungary and Slovenia.
Our pick is Hungary or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hungary vs Slovenia?
On our numbers Hungary have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Slovenia 16%.
How many goals will there be in Hungary vs Slovenia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hungary vs Slovenia?
Our predicted score is Hungary 1–0 Slovenia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hungary vs Slovenia?
Hungary vs Slovenia (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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