The Friendlies sees Canada take on Iceland on Saturday 28 March, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at BMO Field.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Canada and 0.7 for Iceland. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Canada 64%, draw 24%, Iceland 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Canada 2–0 Iceland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Canada64%fair 1.57 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.95
Iceland12%fair 8.18 · @5.90
2.60Expected goals
1.88Canada xG
0.72Iceland xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Canada 1.9 – 0.7 Iceland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canada to win
64%
1.57
1.55
Double chance
Canada or draw
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.33
Half-time result
Canada ahead at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Canada / FT Canada
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.15
–
Form
Canada
No recent results on record.
Iceland – last 1
L
26 Feb
@ Mexico
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Canada and Iceland.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Canada vs Iceland?
On our numbers Canada have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Iceland 12%.
How many goals will there be in Canada vs Iceland?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Canada vs Iceland?
Our predicted score is Canada 2–0 Iceland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Canada vs Iceland?
Canada vs Iceland (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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