Novosibirsk vs Rodina Moskva II preview and prediction
The match
Novosibirsk host Rodina Moskva II in the Second League A Fall Season Gold on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT) at Stadion Spartak. Novosibirsk are 5th with 22 points from 17 games (in the top half), while Rodina Moskva II sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Novosibirsk's last 4: LWLD Most recently they lost to Leningradets 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Rodina Moskva II's last 4: LDDW Most recently they lost to Irtysh Omsk 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Novosibirsk and 1.3 for Rodina Moskva II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Novosibirsk 38%, draw 24%, Rodina Moskva II 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Novosibirsk 1–1 Rodina Moskva II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novosibirsk38%fair 2.62 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.16
Rodina Moskva II38%fair 2.64 · @2.66
2.59Expected goals
1.30Novosibirsk xG
1.29Rodina Moskva II xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Novosibirsk 1.3 – 1.3 Rodina Moskva II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novosibirsk to win✓
38%
2.62
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.89
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.32
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novosibirsk / FT Novosibirsk✓
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
10.28
–
Form
Novosibirsk – last 4
LWLD
22 Mar
@ Leningradets
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Torpedo Miass
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Tekstilshchik
1–5
L
1 Mar
vs Volgar Astrakhan
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Rodina Moskva II – last 4
LDDW
22 Mar
vs Irtysh Omsk
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Veles
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Leningradets
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Torpedo Miass
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novosibirsk and Rodina Moskva II.
What is the prediction for Novosibirsk vs Rodina Moskva II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Novosibirsk vs Rodina Moskva II?
On our numbers Novosibirsk have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rodina Moskva II 38%.
How many goals will there be in Novosibirsk vs Rodina Moskva II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novosibirsk vs Rodina Moskva II?
Our predicted score is Novosibirsk 1–1 Rodina Moskva II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Novosibirsk vs Rodina Moskva II?
Novosibirsk vs Rodina Moskva II (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leningradets0
Veles4
Irtysh Omsk0
Torpedo Miass2
Tekstilshchik1