Value bet: Kaluga to win @ 1.81 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKaluga to win ✗62% · @1.81
Double chanceKaluga or draw ✗85% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.03
Kaluga vs Torpedo Miass preview and prediction
The match
Torpedo Miass travel to Orbita stadium in the Second League A Fall Season Gold on Sunday 29 March (13:00 WAT) to face Kaluga.
Form guide
Kaluga's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Tekstilshchik 1–4 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Torpedo Miass's last 4: DLDL Most recently they drew with Mashuk-KMV 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Kaluga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Kaluga and 0.7 for Torpedo Miass. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Kaluga to win at 1.81 – 62% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Kaluga 1–0 Torpedo Miass. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kaluga62%fair 1.61 · @1.81
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.44
Torpedo Miass15%fair 6.48 · @3.70
2.53Expected goals
1.78Kaluga xG
0.75Torpedo Miass xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Kaluga 1.8 – 0.7 Torpedo Miass expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kaluga to win✗
62%
1.61
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Kaluga or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.29
Half-time result
Kaluga ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kaluga / FT Kaluga✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.03
–
Form
Kaluga – last 6
LWLDDW
22 Mar
@ Tekstilshchik
1–4
L
15 Mar
@ Volgar Astrakhan
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Veles
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Mashuk-KMV
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Torpedo Vladimir
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Astrakhan
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Torpedo Miass – last 4
DLDL
22 Mar
vs Mashuk-KMV
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Novosibirsk
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Irtysh Omsk
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Rodina Moskva II
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaluga and Torpedo Miass.
What is the prediction for Kaluga vs Torpedo Miass?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Kaluga vs Torpedo Miass?
On our numbers Kaluga have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Torpedo Miass 15%.
How many goals will there be in Kaluga vs Torpedo Miass?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaluga vs Torpedo Miass?
Our predicted score is Kaluga 1–0 Torpedo Miass, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kaluga vs Torpedo Miass?
Kaluga vs Torpedo Miass (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Orbita stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leningradets0
Veles4
Irtysh Omsk0
Tekstilshchik1