Value bet: Mashuk-KMV to win @ 3.24 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeningradets to win ✗40% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.26
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.50
Mashuk-KMV vs Leningradets preview and prediction
The match
Leningradets travel to Central Stadium in the Second League A Fall Season Gold on Sunday 29 March (12:00 WAT) to face Mashuk-KMV.
Form guide
Mashuk-KMV's last 4: DDDD Most recently they drew with Torpedo Miass 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leningradets's last 4: WWDW Most recently they beat Novosibirsk 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leningradets arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Mashuk-KMV and 1.2 for Leningradets. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Mashuk-KMV to win at 3.24 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Mashuk-KMV 1–1 Leningradets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mashuk-KMV36%fair 2.76 · @3.24
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.18
Leningradets40%fair 2.51 · @2.04
2.32Expected goals
1.12Mashuk-KMV xG
1.20Leningradets xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mashuk-KMV 1.1 – 1.2 Leningradets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leningradets to win✗
40%
2.51
2.04
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.26
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.21
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leningradets / FT Leningradets✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.50
–
Form
Mashuk-KMV – last 4
DDDD
22 Mar
@ Torpedo Miass
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Tekstilshchik
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Volgar Astrakhan
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Kaluga
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Leningradets – last 4
WWDW
22 Mar
vs Novosibirsk
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Irtysh Omsk
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Rodina Moskva II
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Veles
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mashuk-KMV and Leningradets.
What is the prediction for Mashuk-KMV vs Leningradets?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Mashuk-KMV vs Leningradets?
On our numbers Mashuk-KMV have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leningradets 40%.
How many goals will there be in Mashuk-KMV vs Leningradets?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mashuk-KMV vs Leningradets?
Our predicted score is Mashuk-KMV 1–1 Leningradets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mashuk-KMV vs Leningradets?
Mashuk-KMV vs Leningradets (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Veles4
Irtysh Omsk0
Torpedo Miass2
Tekstilshchik1