Value bet: Botafogo PB to win @ 2.75 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotafogo PB to win ✓42% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.24
AO Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C sees AO Itabaiana take on Botafogo PB on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Etelvino Mendonca. AO Itabaiana are 19th with 17 points from 19 games, while Botafogo PB sit 4th on 5 points. A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
AO Itabaiana's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Maranhão 1–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Botafogo PB's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Guarani Campinas 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Botafogo PB arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished AO Itabaiana 3–3 Botafogo PB.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for AO Itabaiana and 1.2 for Botafogo PB. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AO Itabaiana 34%, draw 24%, Botafogo PB 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Botafogo PB to win at 2.75 – 42% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.92, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AO Itabaiana 1–1 Botafogo PB. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AO Itabaiana34%fair 2.94 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
Botafogo PB42%fair 2.38 · @2.75
2.33Expected goals
1.08AO Itabaiana xG
1.25Botafogo PB xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: AO Itabaiana 1.1 – 1.2 Botafogo PB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AO Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win AO Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB?
On our numbers AO Itabaiana have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Botafogo PB 42%.
How many goals will there be in AO Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AO Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB?
Our predicted score is AO Itabaiana 1–1 Botafogo PB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is AO Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB?
AO Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Etelvino Mendonca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
