Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFloresta to win ✓57% · @1.81
Double chanceFloresta or draw ✓81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.54
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.88
Floresta vs Ituano preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C sees Floresta take on Ituano on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT). Floresta are 3rd with 5 points from 6 games, while Ituano sit 15th on 22 points. A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Floresta's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Volta Redonda 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ituano's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Paysandu 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Floresta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Floresta and 0.7 for Ituano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Floresta 57%, draw 24%, Ituano 19%.
Safer route: Floresta or draw (81%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.54.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Floresta 1–0 Ituano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Floresta57%fair 1.76 · @1.81
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.08
Ituano19%fair 5.21 · @4.25
2.14Expected goals
1.45Floresta xG
0.69Ituano xG
48%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–012%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Floresta 1.5 – 0.7 Ituano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Floresta to win✓
57%
1.76
1.81
Double chance
Floresta or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.54
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.10
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Floresta / FT Floresta✓
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.88
–
Form
Floresta – last 6
WWLDDD
22 Aug
@ Volta Redonda
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Anápolis
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Ypiranga-RS
1–4
L
28 Jul
vs Maringá
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Caxias
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ Guarani Campinas
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ituano – last 6
LLWLLL
22 Aug
vs Paysandu
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Volta Redonda
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Barra
2–0
W
26 Jul
@ Brusque
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Ferroviária
1–3
L
4 Jul
@ Santa Cruz
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Floresta and Ituano.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Floresta vs Ituano?
On our numbers Floresta have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ituano 19%.
How many goals will there be in Floresta vs Ituano?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Floresta vs Ituano?
Our predicted score is Floresta 1–0 Ituano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Floresta vs Ituano?
Floresta vs Ituano (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
