Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFigueirense to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceFigueirense or draw ✓89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.81
Figueirense vs Maranhão preview and prediction
The match
Maranhão travel to face Figueirense in the Serie C on Saturday 29 August (21:00 WAT). Figueirense are 11th with 28 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Maranhão sit 12th on 27 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Figueirense's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Inter De Limeira 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Maranhão's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat AO Itabaiana 4–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Maranhão arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Figueirense and 0.5 for Maranhão. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Figueirense to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Figueirense 1–0 Maranhão. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Figueirense64%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Maranhão11%fair 8.81 · @4.40
2.00Expected goals
1.54Figueirense xG
0.46Maranhão xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Figueirense 1.5 – 0.5 Maranhão expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Figueirense to win✓
64%
1.55
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Figueirense or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Figueirense / FT Figueirense✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.81
–
Form
Figueirense – last 6
DWDWDL
23 Aug
@ Inter De Limeira
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Caxias
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Ferroviária
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Santa Cruz
1–0
W
14 Jul
vs Volta Redonda
0–0
D
6 Jul
@ Brusque
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maranhão – last 6
WWWDWL
23 Aug
vs AO Itabaiana
4–1
W
15 Aug
@ Santa Cruz
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Brusque
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Ferroviária
0–0
D
12 Jul
vs Ypiranga-RS
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Inter De Limeira
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Figueirense and Maranhão.
What is the prediction for Figueirense vs Maranhão?
Our pick is Figueirense to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Figueirense vs Maranhão?
On our numbers Figueirense have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Maranhão 11%.
How many goals will there be in Figueirense vs Maranhão?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Figueirense vs Maranhão?
Our predicted score is Figueirense 1–0 Maranhão, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Figueirense vs Maranhão?
Figueirense vs Maranhão (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
