Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFerroviária to win ✓68% · @1.36
Double chanceFerroviária or draw ✓90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓24% · fair 4.21
Ferroviária vs Confiança preview and prediction
The match
Ferroviária host Confiança in the Serie C on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Arena Fonte Luminosa. Ferroviária are 1st with 11 points from 6 games, while Confiança sit 20th on 13 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ferroviária's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Ypiranga-RS 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Confiança's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Anápolis 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ferroviária arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.5 for Ferroviária and 0.3 for Confiança. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Ferroviária to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Ferroviária 1–0 Confiança. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ferroviária68%fair 1.48 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.90
Confiança10%fair 9.92 · @7.50
1.83Expected goals
1.48Ferroviária xG
0.35Confiança xG
43%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
2–018%
0–016%
3–09%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Ferroviária 1.5 – 0.3 Confiança expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferroviária to win✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Double chance
Ferroviária or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferroviária / FT Ferroviária✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
24%
4.21
–
Form
Ferroviária – last 6
LWDDWL
23 Aug
@ Ypiranga-RS
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Paysandu
4–0
W
8 Aug
@ Figueirense
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Maranhão
0–0
D
12 Jul
@ Ituano
3–1
W
5 Jul
vs Caxias
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Confiança – last 6
LDLDLL
22 Aug
vs Anápolis
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Maringá
1–1
D
11 Aug
@ Paysandu
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs AO Itabaiana
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Botafogo PB
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Barra
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferroviária and Confiança.
What is the prediction for Ferroviária vs Confiança?
Our pick is Ferroviária to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Ferroviária vs Confiança?
On our numbers Ferroviária have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Confiança 10%.
How many goals will there be in Ferroviária vs Confiança?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferroviária vs Confiança?
Our predicted score is Ferroviária 1–0 Confiança, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Ferroviária vs Confiança?
Ferroviária vs Confiança (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Luminosa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
