The Serie C sees Caxias take on Maringá on Sunday 21 June, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Estadio Francisco Stedile. Caxias are 14th with 25 points from 19 games, while Maringá sit 1st on 11 points. A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Caxias's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Guarani Campinas 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Maringá's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Maranhão 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Caxias arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Caxias and 1.2 for Maringá. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caxias 45%, draw 22%, Maringá 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Caxias 1–1 Maringá. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caxias45%fair 2.22 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Maringá33%fair 3.02 · @3.20
2.74Expected goals
1.50Caxias xG
1.24Maringá xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Caxias 1.5 – 1.2 Maringá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caxias to win✗
45%
2.22
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caxias / FT Caxias✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.32
–
Form
Caxias – last 6
LWDWDW
13 Jun
@ Guarani Campinas
1–2
L
30 May
vs Ituano
2–1
W
23 May
@ Maranhão
0–0
D
17 May
vs Paysandu
2–0
W
7 May
@ São Bernardo
1–1
D
1 May
vs Volta Redonda
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Maringá – last 6
DLDLLW
15 Jun
vs Maranhão
0–0
D
30 May
@ Botafogo PB
1–2
L
23 May
vs Santa Cruz
1–1
D
12 May
vs Guarani Campinas
0–5
L
21 Apr
vs Brusque
2–3
L
14 Apr
@ Figueirense
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caxias and Maringá.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Caxias vs Maringá?
On our numbers Caxias have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maringá 33%.
How many goals will there be in Caxias vs Maringá?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caxias vs Maringá?
Our predicted score is Caxias 1–1 Maringá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Caxias vs Maringá?
Caxias vs Maringá (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Stedile.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
