Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Barra to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarra to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceBarra or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.94
Barra vs Amazonas preview and prediction
The match
Amazonas travel to face Barra in the Serie C on Sunday 21 June (22:30 WAT). Barra are 17th with 21 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Amazonas sit 13th on 26 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Barra's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Ferroviária 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Amazonas's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Anápolis 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Barra and 0.6 for Amazonas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barra 62%, draw 25%, Amazonas 13%.
Safer route: Barra or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Barra to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Barra or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barra 1–0 Amazonas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barra62%fair 1.60 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.70
Amazonas13%fair 7.86 · @4.00
2.30Expected goals
1.68Barra xG
0.62Amazonas xG
46%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Barra 1.7 – 0.6 Amazonas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barra to win✗
62%
1.60
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Barra or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barra / FT Barra✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.94
–
Form
Barra – last 6
LDLWLW
16 Jun
@ Ferroviária
0–1
L
17 May
@ Anápolis
1–1
D
14 May
@ Corinthians
0–1
L
5 May
@ Figueirense
3–0
W
22 Apr
vs Corinthians
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Maranhão
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Amazonas – last 6
WLLLDW
13 Jun
vs Anápolis
1–0
W
31 May
@ Guarani Campinas
0–5
L
24 May
vs Ferroviária
1–2
L
16 May
@ Floresta
2–3
L
29 Apr
@ Monte Roraima
2–2
D
19 Apr
vs Maranhão
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barra and Amazonas.
Our pick is Barra or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Barra vs Amazonas?
On our numbers Barra have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Amazonas 13%.
How many goals will there be in Barra vs Amazonas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barra vs Amazonas?
Our predicted score is Barra 1–0 Amazonas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Barra vs Amazonas?
Barra vs Amazonas (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
