Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaranhão to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.21
Maranhão vs Paysandu preview and prediction
The match
Maranhão host Paysandu in the Serie C on Sunday 21 June, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT). Maranhão are 12th with 27 points from 19 games, while Paysandu sit 4th on 5 points. A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Maranhão's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Maringá 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paysandu's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Inter De Limeira 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Paysandu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Maranhão and 1.2 for Paysandu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.83 – 58% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Maranhão 1–1 Paysandu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maranhão39%fair 2.60 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Paysandu36%fair 2.77 · @2.55
2.44Expected goals
1.24Maranhão xG
1.19Paysandu xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Maranhão 1.2 – 1.2 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maranhão to win✗
39%
2.60
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maranhão / FT Maranhão✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.21
–
Form
Maranhão – last 6
DDDLWL
15 Jun
@ Maringá
0–0
D
31 May
@ Anápolis
0–0
D
23 May
vs Caxias
0–0
D
19 May
@ Confiança
1–2
L
5 May
@ Floresta
2–1
W
30 Apr
vs Ceara
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paysandu – last 6
LLWWWL
14 Jun
vs Inter De Limeira
1–2
L
1 Jun
@ Figueirense
1–2
L
29 May
@ Nacional AM
4–2
W
26 May
vs Floresta
2–1
W
21 May
vs Nacional AM
1–0
W
17 May
@ Caxias
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maranhão and Paysandu.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Maranhão vs Paysandu?
On our numbers Maranhão have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Paysandu 36%.
How many goals will there be in Maranhão vs Paysandu?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maranhão vs Paysandu?
Our predicted score is Maranhão 1–1 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Maranhão vs Paysandu?
Maranhão vs Paysandu (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
