Value bet: Shanghai Shenhua to win @ 2.04 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShanghai Shenhua to win ✓53% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.79
Henan Jianye vs Shanghai Shenhua preview and prediction
The match
Henan Jianye host Shanghai Shenhua in the Super League on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium. Henan Jianye are 14th with 28 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Shanghai Shenhua sit 7th on 40 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Henan Jianye's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Qingdao Youth Island 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Shanghai Shenhua's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Qingdao Jonoon 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.1 for Henan Jianye and 1.7 for Shanghai Shenhua. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Shanghai Shenhua to win at 2.04 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Henan Jianye 1–1 Shanghai Shenhua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Henan Jianye26%fair 3.82 · @3.25
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Shanghai Shenhua53%fair 1.89 · @2.04
2.82Expected goals
1.11Henan Jianye xG
1.71Shanghai Shenhua xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Henan Jianye 1.1 – 1.7 Shanghai Shenhua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shanghai Shenhua to win✓
53%
1.89
2.04 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shanghai Shenhua / FT Shanghai Shenhua✓
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.79
–
Form
Henan Jianye – last 5
DLDWW
22 Apr
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Wuhan Three Towns
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Yunnan Yukun
2–1
W
7 Mar
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Shanghai Shenhua – last 6
WWDDWL
22 Apr
vs Qingdao Jonoon
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Tianjin Teda
3–2
W
21 Mar
@ Beijing Guoan
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Hangzhou Greentown
1–1
D
7 Mar
vs Dalian Zhixing
5–3
W
17 Feb
@ Buriram United
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Henan Jianye and Shanghai Shenhua.
What is the prediction for Henan Jianye vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Henan Jianye vs Shanghai Shenhua?
On our numbers Henan Jianye have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Shanghai Shenhua 53%.
How many goals will there be in Henan Jianye vs Shanghai Shenhua?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Henan Jianye vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Our predicted score is Henan Jianye 1–1 Shanghai Shenhua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Henan Jianye vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Henan Jianye vs Shanghai Shenhua (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
