Value bet: Shandong Luneng to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultShandong Luneng to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceShandong Luneng or draw ✗82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.93
Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Luneng preview and prediction
The match
Qingdao Jonoon host Shandong Luneng in the Super League on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT) at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium. Qingdao Jonoon are 16th with 15 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Shandong Luneng sit 4th on 47 points (in the top four). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Qingdao Jonoon's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Shanghai Shenhua 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Shandong Luneng's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Tianjin Teda 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Shandong Luneng arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Qingdao Jonoon and 1.8 for Shandong Luneng. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Safer route: Shandong Luneng or draw (82%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Shandong Luneng to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Qingdao Jonoon 0–2 Shandong Luneng. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qingdao Jonoon18%fair 5.48 · @4.20
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @3.70
Shandong Luneng63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
2.68Expected goals
0.84Qingdao Jonoon xG
1.85Shandong Luneng xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Qingdao Jonoon 0.8 – 1.8 Shandong Luneng expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shandong Luneng to win✗
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Shandong Luneng or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.44
Half-time result
Shandong Luneng ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shandong Luneng / FT Shandong Luneng✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.93
–
Form
Qingdao Jonoon – last 6
LDDWLL
22 Apr
@ Shanghai Shenhua
0–2
L
17 Apr
vs Qingdao Youth Island
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ Tianjin Teda
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Henan Jianye
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Hangzhou Greentown
1–4
L
15 Mar
@ Chengdu Better City
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Shandong Luneng – last 5
WDLWW
21 Apr
@ Tianjin Teda
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Dalian Zhixing
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Beijing Guoan
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Shenyang Urban
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qingdao Jonoon and Shandong Luneng.
What is the prediction for Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Luneng?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Luneng?
On our numbers Qingdao Jonoon have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Shandong Luneng 63%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Luneng?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Luneng?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Jonoon 0–2 Shandong Luneng, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Luneng?
Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Luneng (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
