Value bet: Chongqing Tongliang Long to win @ 1.88 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChongqing Tongliang Long to win ✗61% · @1.88
Double chanceChongqing Tongliang Long or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.85
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island preview and prediction
The match
Qingdao Youth Island travel to Tongliang Long Stadium in the Super League on Sunday 26 April (12:00 WAT) to face Chongqing Tongliang Long. Chongqing Tongliang Long are 10th with 36 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Qingdao Youth Island sit 8th on 39 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chongqing Tongliang Long's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat SHANGHAI SIPG 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Qingdao Youth Island's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Henan Jianye 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chongqing Tongliang Long arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Chongqing Tongliang Long and 0.8 for Qingdao Youth Island. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chongqing Tongliang Long 61%, draw 21%, Qingdao Youth Island 18%.
Safer route: Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Chongqing Tongliang Long to win at 1.88 – 61% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chongqing Tongliang Long61%fair 1.65 · @1.88
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.40
Qingdao Youth Island18%fair 5.60 · @3.80
2.45Expected goals
1.69Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
0.76Qingdao Youth Island xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.7 – 0.8 Qingdao Youth Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chongqing Tongliang Long to win✗
61%
1.65
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chongqing Tongliang Long / FT Chongqing Tongliang Long✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.85
–
Form
Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6
WWWDWD
21 Apr
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Hangzhou Greentown
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs Chengdu Better City
3–3
D
14 Mar
vs Shenyang Urban
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Tianjin Teda
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Qingdao Youth Island – last 6
DDLWLL
22 Apr
vs Henan Jianye
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Chengdu Better City
1–5
L
21 Mar
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
1–4
L
8 Mar
@ Hangzhou Greentown
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chongqing Tongliang Long and Qingdao Youth Island.
What is the prediction for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?
On our numbers Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Qingdao Youth Island 18%.
How many goals will there be in Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our predicted score is Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Tongliang Long Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
