Value bet: Sichuan Jiuniu to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSichuan Jiuniu to win ✓43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓9% · fair 10.64
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shenyang Urban preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Sichuan Jiuniu take on Shenyang Urban on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Baoan Stadium. Sichuan Jiuniu are 11th with 33 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Shenyang Urban sit 13th on 29 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sichuan Jiuniu's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Beijing Guoan 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Shenyang Urban's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Dalian Zhixing 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Shenyang Urban arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Sichuan Jiuniu and 1.3 for Shenyang Urban. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Sichuan Jiuniu to win at 2.55 – 43% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 Shenyang Urban. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sichuan Jiuniu43%fair 2.30 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
Shenyang Urban34%fair 2.90 · @2.60
2.75Expected goals
1.47Sichuan Jiuniu xG
1.28Shenyang Urban xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sichuan Jiuniu 1.5 – 1.3 Shenyang Urban expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sichuan Jiuniu to win✓
43%
2.30
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sichuan Jiuniu / FT Sichuan Jiuniu✓
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
9%
10.64
–
Form
Sichuan Jiuniu – last 6
LLLWLL
21 Apr
vs Beijing Guoan
0–1
L
17 Apr
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
0–2
L
12 Apr
vs Yunnan Yukun
3–4
L
5 Apr
vs Wuhan Three Towns
5–2
W
21 Mar
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Chengdu Better City
1–5
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Shenyang Urban – last 5
LWWLL
22 Apr
vs Dalian Zhixing
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Beijing Guoan
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Tianjin Teda
3–0
W
14 Mar
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
0–1
L
7 Mar
@ Shandong Luneng
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sichuan Jiuniu and Shenyang Urban.
What is the prediction for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shenyang Urban?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shenyang Urban?
On our numbers Sichuan Jiuniu have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shenyang Urban 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shenyang Urban?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shenyang Urban?
Our predicted score is Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 Shenyang Urban, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shenyang Urban?
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shenyang Urban (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Baoan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
