Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Paraguay to win @ 3.95 – our chance 34% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +36%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMorocco to win ✓43% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.55
Morocco vs Paraguay preview and prediction
The match
Paraguay travel to Stade Bollaert-Delelis in the Friendlies on Tuesday 31 March (19:00 WAT) to face Morocco.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Morocco and 0.9 for Paraguay. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Morocco 43%, draw 22%, Paraguay 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Paraguay to win at 3.95 – 34% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Morocco 1–0 Paraguay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Morocco43%fair 2.30 · @1.97
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.20
Paraguay34%fair 2.91 · @3.95
1.93Expected goals
1.05Morocco xG
0.88Paraguay xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Morocco 1.0 – 0.9 Paraguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Morocco to win✓
43%
2.30
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.55
–
Form
Morocco – last 1
D
27 Mar
vs Ecuador
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Paraguay – last 1
W
27 Mar
@ Greece
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morocco and Paraguay.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Morocco vs Paraguay?
On our numbers Morocco have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paraguay 34%.
How many goals will there be in Morocco vs Paraguay?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morocco vs Paraguay?
Our predicted score is Morocco 1–0 Paraguay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Morocco vs Paraguay?
Morocco vs Paraguay (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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