Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFortaleza EC to win ✗68% · @1.25
Double chanceFortaleza EC or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.10
Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Ponte Preta take on Fortaleza EC on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT). Ponte Preta are 20th with 15 points from 37 games (in the bottom three), while Fortaleza EC sit 5th on 62 points (in the top half). A gap of 47 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ponte Preta's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Atletico Goianiense 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Fortaleza EC's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Sport Recife 2–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Fortaleza EC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 July 2026, finished Fortaleza EC 2–0 Ponte Preta.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.6 for Ponte Preta and 1.8 for Fortaleza EC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fortaleza EC to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ponte Preta 0–1 Fortaleza EC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ponte Preta13%fair 7.64 · @11.00
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @5.00
Fortaleza EC68%fair 1.47 · @1.25
2.40Expected goals
0.59Ponte Preta xG
1.81Fortaleza EC xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–215%
1–110%
0–09%
0–39%
1–29%
From our goals model: Ponte Preta 0.6 – 1.8 Fortaleza EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
Our pick is Fortaleza EC to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
On our numbers Ponte Preta have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Fortaleza EC 68%.
How many goals will there be in Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
Our predicted score is Ponte Preta 0–1 Fortaleza EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
