Serie B · BrazilAtletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Atletico Goianiense 1.2 – 1.2 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Atletico Goianiense and Novorizontino on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Atletico Goianiense have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Novorizontino have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Atletico Goianiense, 1.2 for Novorizontino). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Atletico Goianiense have won 0, Novorizontino have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.68. For a bigger price, Novorizontino to win at 2.75 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Novorizontino to win ✓ | 39% | 2.57 | 2.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino ✗ | 22% | 4.62 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 11% | 9.11 | – |
Form
Atletico Goianiense – last 6
| 16 Oct | @ Ponte Preta | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Sport Recife | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Oct | @ CRB | 1–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs America Mineiro | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Goias | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ São Bernardo | 0–1 | L |
Novorizontino – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Vila Nova | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Oct | vs Ponte Preta | 5–1 | W |
| 8 Oct | @ Nautico Recife | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Oct | vs Goias | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Sep | vs São Bernardo | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Ceara | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 4 Jul 2026 | Novorizontino v Atletico Goianiense | 3–0 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers Atletico Goianiense have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Novorizontino 39%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino?
Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.