Serie B · Brazil · RessacadaAvai vs Botafogo SP prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Botafogo SP to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Avai 1.2 – 1.1 Botafogo SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Avai and Botafogo SP on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Avai have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Botafogo SP have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. Botafogo SP come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.2 for Avai, 1.1 for Botafogo SP). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Avai have won 0, Botafogo SP have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.00 is better than our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Botafogo SP to win at 3.20 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Avai to win ✗ | 40% | 2.52 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.53 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Avai / FT Avai ✗ | 22% | 4.62 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.02 | – |
Form
Avai – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Athletic Club | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Cuiaba | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Londrina | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Ceara | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Criciuma | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Goias | 1–2 | L |
Botafogo SP – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ CRB | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Ceara | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | @ Operario-PR | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Vila Nova | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Ponte Preta | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Athletic Club | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 6 Jul 2026 | Botafogo SP v Avai | 3–1 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Avai vs Botafogo SP?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Avai vs Botafogo SP?
On our numbers Avai have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Botafogo SP 35%.
How many goals will there be in Avai vs Botafogo SP?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Avai vs Botafogo SP?
Avai vs Botafogo SP (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Ressacada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.