Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife preview and prediction
The match
Sport Recife travel to Estadio dos Aflitos in the Serie B on Saturday 26 September (20:30 WAT) to face Nautico Recife. Nautico Recife are 15th with 46 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Sport Recife sit 9th on 55 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Nautico Recife's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Cuiaba 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sport Recife's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Juventude 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Sport Recife 2–0 Nautico Recife.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Nautico Recife and 1.2 for Sport Recife. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nautico Recife 41%, draw 24%, Sport Recife 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Nautico Recife 1–1 Sport Recife. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nautico Recife41%fair 2.45 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.30
Sport Recife35%fair 2.85 · @3.00
2.59Expected goals
1.36Nautico Recife xG
1.23Sport Recife xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nautico Recife 1.4 – 1.2 Sport Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife?
On our numbers Nautico Recife have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sport Recife 35%.
How many goals will there be in Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife?
Our predicted score is Nautico Recife 1–1 Sport Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife?
Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio dos Aflitos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
