Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Germano KrugerOperario-PR vs Ceara prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Ceara to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Operario-PR 1.4 – 1.0 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Operario-PR hold the edge on home soil with a 47% chance of winning, against 30% for Ceara.
Operario-PR have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Ceara have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.4 for Operario-PR, 1.0 for Ceara). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Operario-PR have won 1, Ceara have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.30. For a bigger price, Ceara to win at 3.60 is our value angle (30% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Operario-PR to win ✗ | 47% | 2.11 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.36 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Operario-PR / FT Operario-PR ✗ | 26% | 3.79 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.15 | – |
Form
Operario-PR – last 6
| 22 Sep | @ Criciuma | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | @ Nautico Recife | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Sep | vs CRB | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Londrina | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Fortaleza EC | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | vs Vila Nova | 0–0 | D |
Ceara – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Novorizontino | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Fortaleza EC | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Sep | @ Atletico Goianiense | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Sport Recife | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Vila Nova | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Londrina | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 31 May 2026 | Ceara v Operario-PR | 1–2 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Operario-PR vs Ceara?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Operario-PR vs Ceara?
On our numbers Operario-PR have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ceara 30%.
How many goals will there be in Operario-PR vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Operario-PR vs Ceara?
Operario-PR vs Ceara (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Germano Kruger.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.