Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Onesio Brasileiro AlvarengaVila Nova vs Londrina prediction & analysis
Vila Nova to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Vila Nova 1.9 – 0.7 Londrina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Vila Nova are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 14% for Londrina.
Vila Nova have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Londrina have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. Vila Nova come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.9 for Vila Nova, 0.7 for Londrina). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Vila Nova have won 1, Londrina have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Vila Nova to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is better than our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.05 is our value angle (54% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Vila Nova to win ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.60 |
| Double chance | Vila Nova or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | 2.05 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Half-time result | Vila Nova ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Vila Nova / FT Vila Nova ✓ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.33 | – |
Form
Vila Nova – last 6
| 18 Sep | vs America Mineiro | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | @ Avai | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Sep | vs Goias | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Athletic Club | 0–5 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Ceara | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Operario-PR | 0–0 | D |
Londrina – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Fortaleza EC | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Ponte Preta | 6–0 | W |
| 10 Sep | @ São Bernardo | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Operario-PR | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Sep | vs Juventude | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Ceara | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 31 May 2026 | Londrina v Vila Nova | 0–1 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Vila Nova vs Londrina?
Our pick is Vila Nova to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Vila Nova vs Londrina?
On our numbers Vila Nova have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Londrina 14%.
How many goals will there be in Vila Nova vs Londrina?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Vila Nova vs Londrina?
Vila Nova vs Londrina (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.