Goias vs Atletico Goianiense prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGoias to win ✗39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.86
Goias vs Atletico Goianiense preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Goias take on Atletico Goianiense on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estádio da Serrinha. Goias are 7th with 58 points from 37 games (in the top half), while Atletico Goianiense sit 8th on 58 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Goias's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Avai 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Atletico Goianiense's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to São Bernardo 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 May 2026, finished Atletico Goianiense 1–1 Goias. Across their last 2 meetings Goias have won 0, Atletico Goianiense 0, with 2 draws and 1.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Goias and 1.1 for Atletico Goianiense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Goias 1–1 Atletico Goianiense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Goias39%fair 2.56 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.10
Atletico Goianiense36%fair 2.81 · @2.88
2.18Expected goals
1.12Goias xG
1.05Atletico Goianiense xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Goias 1.1 – 1.1 Atletico Goianiense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
On our numbers Goias have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico Goianiense 36%.
How many goals will there be in Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our predicted score is Goias 1–1 Atletico Goianiense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
Goias vs Atletico Goianiense (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Serrinha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.