Value bet: São Bernardo to win @ 1.81 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSão Bernardo to win ✗61% · @1.81
Double chanceSão Bernardo or draw ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.17
São Bernardo vs Londrina preview and prediction
The match
Londrina travel to Estadio Primeiro de Maio in the Serie B on Thursday 10 September (23:30 WAT) to face São Bernardo. São Bernardo are 11th with 52 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Londrina sit 18th on 32 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
São Bernardo's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Ponte Preta 2–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Londrina's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Operario-PR 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
São Bernardo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 May 2026, finished Londrina 1–3 São Bernardo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for São Bernardo and 0.8 for Londrina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: São Bernardo 61%, draw 22%, Londrina 18%.
Safer route: São Bernardo or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Value angle: São Bernardo to win at 1.81 – 61% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: São Bernardo 1–0 Londrina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
São Bernardo61%fair 1.65 · @1.81
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.65
Londrina18%fair 5.57 · @4.10
2.51Expected goals
1.72São Bernardo xG
0.79Londrina xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: São Bernardo 1.7 – 0.8 Londrina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Londrina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win São Bernardo vs Londrina?
On our numbers São Bernardo have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Londrina 18%.
How many goals will there be in São Bernardo vs Londrina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Bernardo vs Londrina?
Our predicted score is São Bernardo 1–0 Londrina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is São Bernardo vs Londrina?
São Bernardo vs Londrina (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Primeiro de Maio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
